The yield curve plots U.S. Treasury bond yields across maturities. An inverted yield curve has preceded every recession since the 1950s.
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View Plans - Starting FreeAn inverted yield curve occurs when short-term Treasury yields exceed long-term yields, signaling that investors expect future economic weakness.
The 10Y-2Y and 10Y-3M spreads are displayed above. A negative spread indicates inversion.
The 10Y-2Y spread has inverted before every U.S. recession since the 1950s.